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Bull Market

The basics

A bull market is a stretch of time during which prices for an asset, or a whole market like the S&P 500, are broadly trending upward. The name comes from the way a bull attacks — thrusting its horns up — as a visual shorthand for rising prices, and the opposite case (falling prices) is called a bear market, from a bear swiping its paw downward.

There's no single moment that flips a market into "bull" status; it's a description applied after prices have climbed meaningfully off a low point and kept grinding higher over weeks, months, or years, usually alongside general optimism, rising trading volumes, and improving economic conditions. Some commentators use a rough rule of thumb, like a 20% rise from a recent low, to label a bull market, but that number is a convention people use for talking about markets, not a rule any exchange or regulator enforces.

The nuance that trips people up is that a bull market doesn't mean prices only go up. Sharp pullbacks of several percent, even ones lasting weeks, can happen inside a bull market and not end it, as long as the overall upward trend resumes. Conversely, calling something a bull market is a judgment about a completed or ongoing trend, not a prediction — plenty of people confidently label a bull market right before it stalls.

The term can apply narrowly (a bull market in oil, or in a single stock) or broadly (a bull market in equities generally), so it's worth checking what scope someone means when they use it.

Check the current rule

This term depends on a rule or threshold that changes over time, so no specific figure is quoted here. The definition mentions a common '20% rise from a low' convention for labeling a bull market. This is a widely used market-commentary convention, not a codified regulatory or exchange rule, and different sources apply it differently (some measure from a low, some require it to follow a prior 20% decline). A human editor should confirm how TrueTrader wants to characterize this threshold, or omit a specific number if precision is required.

Why it matters on the desk

Day traders care because the broader trend (bull or bear) shapes which side of trades tends to have better odds and lower resistance on a given day, and many day traders skew toward taking long trades that align with a bull market's direction rather than fighting it.

An example

Suppose an index fund tracking a broad stock market drops to $300 a share during a downturn, then over the following two years climbs steadily to $370, with occasional dips of 5-8% along the way that each get bought back up. Financial commentators would describe that stretch as a bull market, even though it wasn't a straight line up.

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